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Gramercy Strategy Outlook – 2Q 2026

Volatility isn’t a headline anymore – it’s the macro backdrop.

In our 2Q 2026 Quarterly Outlook, we break down how the Middle East shock is turning energy, supply chains, inflation, and policy into a set of non-linear outcomes – creating clear winners and losers across countries and asset classes. We are navigating markets where “mean reversion” can quickly become “multiple equilibrium”, making portfolio construction and risk management more critical than ever. Gramercy’s “Better Approach to Emerging Markets” is built for precisely this environment.

Research

Gramercy Strategy Outlook – 1Q 2026
Keep calm, carry on … but watch the tails

Ultimately, 2026 will be defined by a multi-modal distribution. Investors cannot cling to the comfort of the central scenario; they must prepare for a landscape where the tails carry as much cumulative weight as the center. In a year where dispersion – between nations, sectors, and households – reigns supreme, readiness for multiple scenarios is not just prudent, it is essential.

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