The evidence of a challenging “last mile” in the advanced countries’ battle against inflation, and the backup in government yields that came with that, did not dent the impressive asset price rally that started last October. Neither did news that Germany, Japan, and the UK had fallen into recession, the tragic prolongation of deadly wars, or the heavy election calendar.

The tug-of-war between more supportive financial conditions and less accommodating growth will place a premium on responsive domestic policies, something that quite a few emerging economies did well on in the last few years. It is also likely to increase the pressure for greater dispersion in both economic and financial outcomes within the asset class.

Resilience, optionality, and agility, “ROA,” are the path toward capturing our target returns but without making any non-recoverable mistakes. In doing so, we will continue to respect and embrace the volatility in the markets by planning the trade and trading the plan.

This past quarter certainly witnessed the tug-of war between the policy trilemma facing central banks and climbing of the wall of worry that was characterized between positive carry and pull to par. We would not be surprised to see the next phase resulting in inflows that chase the recent returns and propel the asset class higher. We expect continued volatility that will permit for tactical positioning of capital driven by our top-down and bottom-up perspectives on the asset class and will therefore, continue to respect and embrace the volatility in the markets by planning the trade and trading the plan.