Ultimately, 2026 will be defined by a multi-modal distribution. Investors cannot cling to the comfort of the central scenario; they must prepare for a landscape where the tails carry as much cumulative weight as the center. In a year where dispersion – between nations, sectors, and households – reigns supreme, readiness for multiple scenarios is not just prudent, it is essential.
As we approach the close of 2025, we view emerging markets in a position of strength. For investors seeking to reduce concentration risk and better navigate an evolving global landscape, the asset class offers a broad, diverse, and increasingly stable opportunity set. We remain selective but confident in the long-term case for emerging markets across both public and private portfolios. Gramercy is ideally positioned to deliver strong results for the well-being of our clients utilizing the continued power of “A Better Approach to Emerging Markets®.”
The start of the third quarter brings a familiar level of uncertainty surrounding U.S. tariff policy, yet financial markets appear far less jittery than at the start of the prior quarter. While high-conviction predictions on tariffs are scarce, and understandably so, the immediate economic headwinds facing the U.S. have notably eased. This abatement is largely thanks to the passage of a significant fiscal stimulus bill, the structural robustness of the corporate sector, and the looming prospect of the first Federal Reserve rate cut in 2025.
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Our affiliate, Gramercy Ltd., is a limited company organized under the laws of the United Kingdom and registered with U.K. Financial Conduct Authority which has been delegated certain portfolio management services, including but not limited to investment advice and execution of trades. The activities of Gramercy Ltd. provide for the benefit of additional trade coverage and risk management functions.
Disclosures: Stewardship & SDR II; Renumeration.
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