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Decoding the Global Macro Environment
3Q 2025 Strategy Outlook

The start of the third quarter brings a familiar level of uncertainty surrounding U.S. tariff policy, yet financial markets appear far less jittery than at the start of the prior quarter. While high-conviction predictions on tariffs are scarce, and understandably so, the immediate economic headwinds facing the U.S. have notably eased. This abatement is largely thanks to the passage of a significant fiscal stimulus bill, the structural robustness of the corporate sector, and the looming prospect of the first Federal Reserve rate cut in 2025.

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