As we approach the close of 2025, we view emerging markets in a position of strength. For investors seeking to reduce concentration risk and better navigate an evolving global landscape, the asset class offers a broad, diverse, and increasingly stable opportunity set. We remain selective but confident in the long-term case for emerging markets across both public and private portfolios. Gramercy is ideally positioned to deliver strong results for the well-being of our clients utilizing the continued power of “A Better Approach to Emerging Markets®.”
The start of the third quarter brings a familiar level of uncertainty surrounding U.S. tariff policy, yet financial markets appear far less jittery than at the start of the prior quarter. While high-conviction predictions on tariffs are scarce, and understandably so, the immediate economic headwinds facing the U.S. have notably eased. This abatement is largely thanks to the passage of a significant fiscal stimulus bill, the structural robustness of the corporate sector, and the looming prospect of the first Federal Reserve rate cut in 2025.
Emerging markets are facing challenges due to recent U.S. tariff adjustments, which have led to currency fluctuations and inflationary pressures globally. However, this situation has created opportunities for U.S. asset management firms as there is increased demand for U.S. dollar lending.
There are two competing narratives regarding the future economic outlook. The optimistic one anticipates a path towards a fairer global trading system, through creative destruction, with the U.S. securing concessions from its trading partners and potentially benefiting from looser monetary policy and tax cuts.
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Our affiliate, Gramercy Ltd., is a limited company organized under the laws of the United Kingdom and registered with U.K. Financial Conduct Authority which has been delegated certain portfolio management services, including but not limited to investment advice and execution of trades. The activities of Gramercy Ltd. provide for the benefit of additional trade coverage and risk management functions.
Disclosures: Stewardship & SDR II; Renumeration.
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